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Rocket's Brain Trust

Sat Sep 23, 11:17am

VIDEO - I'm an American Soldier (A MUST WATCH!)
HT Scott Malensek

I'm an American Soldier



If it doesn't start here's the direct URL:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9stj8kHMX8&NR
Posted by rocketsbrain on Sat Sep 23, 11:17am. 0 Comments

Thu Sep 21, 1:29pm

SHIELDS UP - GO TO RED ALERT?
Something to think about

SCROLL FOR UPDATES

HT Gates of Vienna

Bad karma appears to be brewing again. Iranian President MAD has issued several letters to heads of state to convert to Islam. Some interpret this as a bad sign as prelude to a "defensive" attack. Several bloggers are having bad vibes over the month of October with the coming of Ramaden that begins around Septemeber 24th.

Even Istanpundit who is usually conservative on these things was openly questioning if Iran already had a nuke:

YESTERDAY I WAS WONDERING if Iran already had nukes, and if the United States is already being quietly blackmailed. Now Austin Bay offers his thoughts.

RBT has long wondered if there was a reason why the Mad Mullahs have shifted from their talk-talk tan-tan diplomacy with the EU that was really working for them.

Baron Bodissey has the most significant post and coupled with the other reports of AQ's Mr Nuclear trolling south of the border in Mexico.

Whether it's time for Captain Kirk to order shields up and go to RED ALERT remains to be seen.

RBT

*****

The Cycle of Warnings Has Ended

by Baron Bodissey

Sultan Mehmud Ghaznawi with his lover Ayaz greets the SheykhLast Saturday Northeast Intelligence Network posted an interview with Al Qaeda leader Abu Dawood. According to the report, Abu Dawood summoned Pakistani journalist Hamid Mir by cell phone, and the two met on the outskirts of Kabul, at the tomb of Sultan Mehmoud Ghaznawi, on September 12th.

Abu Dawood said that America has received its last warning from Al Qaeda. The mujahideen are poised to launch a major new attack, this time with chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons smuggled across the border from Mexico.

I have no idea if this interview is genuine; I can find only the original Northeast Intelligence Network report and its derivatives on the web, and have no independent confirmation of it.

The whole thing could be completely bogus. It could well be disinformation; a taqiyya operation designed to tie up American intelligence assets in a snipe hunt.

But if there’s any accuracy to it, we can expect something big to happen in the next few days or weeks.

[...]

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Update:

HT AJ at The Strata-Sphere

Here's a World Net Daily article expanding on the same stories with more specific details that have been floating around the Blogos:

HOMELAND INSECURITY
Reporter: Take warning for Muslims out of U.S. seriously
Pakistani who met bin Laden says don't underestimate al-Qaida nuke threat

Posted: September 21, 2006
1:00 a.m. Eastern

© 2006 WorldNetDaily.com

WASHINGTON – The warning from an al-Qaida field commander in Afghanistan calling for Muslims to leave the U.S. – particularly Washington and New York – in anticipation of a major terror attack to rival Sept. 11, should be taken seriously says the Pakistani journalist who interviewed Abu Dawood.

[...]

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Update II:

HT Riehl World

War With Iran?

via ... The Nation. I can hear the netroots now ... I question the timing. Yes, if only Bush hadn't allowed the diplomacy to go on for so long. Drat!

According to Lieut. Mike Kafka, a spokesman at the headquarters of the Second Fleet, based in Norfolk, Virginia, the Eisenhower Strike Group, bristling with Tomahawk cruise missiles, has received orders to depart the United States in a little over a week. Other official sources in the public affairs office of the Navy Department at the Pentagon confirm that this powerful armada is scheduled to arrive off the coast of Iran on or around October 21.


Read More

Posted by rocketsbrain on Thu Sep 21, 1:29pm. 0 Comments

Wed Sep 20, 1:40pm

MALKIN - 'AP vs. the "so-called blogosphere'
HT Michelle Malkin

Michelle's
on the warpath again. RBT has said for a long time the MSM is rooting for the enemy like some underdog in a Sunday afternoon football game.

Unfortunately the stakes are very high in this game - OUR FREEDOM! I guess many MSM journalists slept through history class in middle school. Hello! It's 1938 all over again.

See this piece I penned hawking Scott Malensek's five part series I posted here on the connections between the Saddam Regime and AQ, Sunni and Shiia Islamofascists, and other groups.

RBT

*****

The Truth, The Whole Truth, and nothing but The Truth?


The MSM is failing in its journalistic responsibility/obligation under the
1st Amendment to objectively report and educate the American people of the
important news of the day. The MSM is selectively filtering and ommiting
key facts readily available on the Internet and the Blogos re the GWOT.
This is tantamount to lying to the American people.

Some have argued this stems from MSM's BDS (Bush Derangement Syndrome - HT Dr. Sanity). There are none so blind as those who will not see.

The support and will of the American people is crucial in winning the GWOT.
Without objective facts, the American people are left in the dark regarding
the real dangers the free world is facing by this enemy and its ideology of
hate and Evil - Islamofascism. In recent days one only need take notice of
the extreme intolerance of radical Islam worldwide over the Pope's remarks.
We are witnessing 1938 all over again.

Please see this five-part series by Scott Malesek on the real connections
between the Saddam Regime and radical Islam. Saddam was a Sunday go to
mosque Muslim. Saddam collaborated and supported AQ, Sunni and Shiia
Islamofascists, and others whenever it was in his own best interests to
remain in power.

RBT

Update:

HT Austin Bay

Austin Bay drills it with this post:

The CBS Ambush– this week’s Creators Syndicate column

The “Arab street” put a calculated “image of anger” on your tv screen.

That was 1990.

The definition:

Twenty-first century Islamo-fascist terrorists, however, have refined the model and moved beyond an image of anger to a new form of prepared global ambush that integrates murder, terror and instant media.

The ambush technique coordinates blood-spilling violence with sensational imagery and rhetoric using a dispersed network of media operatives, guerrillas and terrorists. Networked, Coordinated Blood-spilling plus Sensationalism — hence the technique’s acronym: the CBS ambush.

[...]

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Update:

HT Michelle Malkin

Michelle fires this broadside:

AP runs to the Washington Post

What do you do when you are a global news organization under fire for suppressing five-month-old news of the capture of one of your employees by American troops in a Ramadi apartment with an alleged al Qaeda leader and a weapons cache?

You run to a sympathetic news organization to help you whitewash the story and smear the U.S. military. Naturally.

On Saturday, the Washington Post op-ed page published a shameless CYA screed by Associated (with terrorists) Press president and chief executive Tom Curley on the Bilal Hussein case. The inanity begins with the very first paragraph of the piece titled "In Iraq, a Journalist in Limbo:"

[...]

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Posted by rocketsbrain on Wed Sep 20, 1:40pm. 0 Comments

Mon Sep 18, 1:07pm

Anthrax attacks: 5 years later
HT Michelle Malkin

Anthrax attacks: 5 years later
By Michelle Malkin · September 18, 2006 08:10 AM

Have you forgotten? Five years ago today, someone--still unknown--sent letters laced with anthrax to the NYPost and NBC News. Two more letters, postmarked October 9, 2001, were sent to Sens. Tom Daschle and Pat Leahy with even more refined ("weaponized") anthrax:

[...]

Read More

No, RBT has not gone off the deepend. But here's something to consider. At least it would be a good start for a Spy vs. Spy thriller.

Yes, it's a little conspiratorial but the FBI's Mad Scientist Theory has gone nowhere. The last we heard they were dredging some pond in the DC Area.

Could there be something more here? There's no question that AQ was involved in anthrax experimentation (*), but perhaps the stuff that went to the Hill was from another source for an entirely different reason - USAMRID, NIH, Pharma industry cover to experiment with vaccine adjuvants with a captive test population the US Military. Think about it. Spike the anthrax threat to stimulate demand for the vaccine that they are using for dosage range studies of squaline as a vaccine adjuvant.

This would be a real good Tom Clancy novel. The US has weapons grade anthrax for a number of reasons in violation of bio-chem weapons treaties. Some of the contract black ops labs involved in this also have their hands in the pie on the vaccine adjuvant game. Someone let this the weapons grade anthrax out that was sent to the Hill.

No wonder the FBI's investigation went cold they ran up against a national security block. This would expose a potential violation of US bioweaps treaty obligations.

The DOD's USAMRID explanations have been contradictory and like pulling teeth over a number of years. This raises my investigator's gut BS meter.

For more on this read this piece:

ANTHRAX VACCINE CAUSAL LINK FOR GULF WAR SYNDROME?


RBT

PS * Anthrax really doesn't make a good military bioweapon. Smallpox on the otherhand using illegal alien carriers would be devastating. Read this piece:

A Gap in Local Bioterrorism Response
Posted by rocketsbrain on Mon Sep 18, 1:07pm. 0 Comments

Mon Sep 18, 9:56am

Those NO TIES Lies Part 5
Those NO TIES Lies
Part 5: The Real Ties and Truth about the Lies

By Scott Malensek

We’ve all waited 4 years to see a good report on what happened to Saddam’s WMD, and yesterday the last investigative report was released by the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. The only problem is…I searched the entire 400 pages of this “Phase II report” (or rather both reports that make up the Phase II report), and I couldn’t find those two words: “Bush lied.” I can’t even find, “Bush mislead” in the 400 pages. What I did find was 400 pages of evidence showing that the intelligence community used small amounts of weak intelligence from a decrepit litany of agencies, and then poorly communicated that to policy makers (Bush Admin, Democrats who ran the Senate, and Republicans who ran the House).

I searched the British Butler Report and their Hutton inquiry, and neither stated that President Bush lied or mislead anyone. Australian Parliamentary investigations (bi-partisan and independent) failed to say President Bush lied or mislead anyone. The Independent and bi-partisan WMD Commission didn’t say it either. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence’s “Phase I” report didn’t say the President lied or mislead either. In reading and re-reading all of the thousands of pages in these bi-partisan reports, I have never once seen the words, “President Bush lied” or “President Bush mislead.” I’ve never seen, “President Bush pressured analysts” or “President Bush manipulated intelligence.” Never once did I see even evidence of that. Instead, all these reports say one thing, and it’s the same thing that the 21 investigations (including the independent 911 Commission) all stated clearly. They all point the finger at small amounts of weak and bad intelligence reporting from decrepit, poorly lead, under-funded intelligence agencies.

Two months before the midterm elections-elections that are pivotal to America’s fate-these new reports are just politics. There’s nothing new. Democrats can dance as much as they can, but they promoted war on Saddam from 1990-2002, they KNEW the intelligence for that entire period, most didn’t even look at the latest classified intelligence before authorizing the second invasion, and they have to live with that.

The fact is, President Bush didn’t lie, pressure, manipulate, distort, or mislead anyone regarding the threat posed by Saddam. [RBT emphasis] Let’s face it, the C student who can barely manage to read a teleprompter half the time is just not the sharpest knife in the drawer. Are we really supposed to believe and excuse Democrats who authorized the war because President George W Bush was so sly that he fooled veteran DC politicians; politicians who had been seeing classified intelligence information on Iraq for 11years before the authorization of the second invasion? That seems to be what Sen. Rockefeller, Sen. Levin, Sen. Kerry and others want us to believe. Can you hear the re-election speech whines, “President Bush fooled me into voting for war by manipulating the intelligence that I never looked at before authorizing war.” Or how about, “President Bush out-smarted me by lying about intelligence on Iraq even though I’d been looking at consistent intelligence reports for 11 years before.” If President Bush isn’t the sharpest knife in the drawer, then are those who claim “Bush lied” mere spoons, or are they really lawyer-lawmakers with razor sharp lies and agendas of their own?

Why believe them? Why believe politicians who go back and forth on the issue depending on the polls? Why believe lawyer politicians who are also up for re-election, and/or are already pandering for their own 2008 Presidential bids? Why believe them when they whine, “Bush lied,” “Bush mislead,” “Bush twicked me.” [RBT Emphasis]

Why not face the reality that 911 succeeded because America’s intelligence networks were hacked to the bone? Oh wait….I see. We can’t admit that because it happened after the Soviet Union collapsed which means that we’d have to admit President Clinton and a Democrat-controlled Senate slashed CIA budgets and others to get a budget surplus. We can’t admit that the only political appointees who have been more damaging to the United States than FEMA’s former Director were leaders of intelligence agencies, and they were appointed by President Clinton. Doubt it? Who has more blood and devastation on their hands: former FEMA Director Mike Brown, or former CIA Director Tenet?

People ask me all the time, “What do you think about the war?” They almost always mean the war in Iraq since it’s the political football for both parties to play with while the war around the rest of the world is largely ignored and even denied. I tell them, “History shows that once a war is started, someone has to be defeated. Saddam wasn’t defeated in 1991-not by his standards, and unless someone feels defeated…they’re not defeated.” Have you ever seen a boxer give up a title because he lost on points? They always come out of retirement until they feel they’re beaten.

We may forget it, but Saddam, the Arab Street, Iraq’s neighbors, the UN, and Osama Bin Laden all believed that the US was waging war on Iraq in the 90’s. It’s why Al Queda was revived after the Soviets withdrew from Afghanistan, and it’s why Bin Laden decided to start killing Americans. THAT is an undeniable link between Saddam and Bin Laden. If the US had removed Saddam in 1991 then Al Queda wouldn’t have started attacking Americans, there’d have been no 911, and there’d be no Global War on Terror today.

America’s war with Saddam had to end someday, and that meant regime change. Uprisings of Iraqis demanding democracy failed and resulted in 400,000 deaths. At least five CIA supported coups and uprisings had failed. The ISG “Duelfer Report” shows that sanctions were almost completely and irrevocably failed. Diplomacy clearly had failed. 50+ assassination attempts on the first night of OIF failed. Four Clinton Administration air campaigns and two sustained 11-year-long air campaigns all failed. All else failed. Another invasion really was the last resort; the inevitable last resort.

Al Queda didn’t attack the United States 5yrs ago because President George W Bush manipulated intelligence, mislead, or lied so he could invade Iraq and line oil barons’ pockets. No. Al Queda attacked the United States because no one before George W Bush had the nerve to invade Iraq, because the US had practiced a foreign policy of engage and retreat-uh, I mean redeploy, and their attacks succeeded because when the Soviet Union collapsed so did support, leadership, and efficiency in America’s intelligence networks.

There is truth in history-not in the mouths of politicians pandering for their jobs or for bigger and more powerful jobs. The lesson of Pearl Harbor was for Lady Liberty to never leave her guard down, and never ignore a belligerent’s threats. A more tactical lesson was to always strive to have the best intelligence-not the smallest and cheapest. President Bush didn’t lie. The war in Iraq and 911 both happened largely America had sought the smallest and cheapest and most PC intelligence networks possible, and because when Osama Bin Laden declared war on the US…he had to do it five times. He had to level two entire zip codes before the nation really went to war with him, and the CIA assigned more than 40 people to searching for him. [RBT emphasis]

America ignored those lessons in 1941 and in 2001.

“The pictures of airplanes flying into buildings, fires burning, huge structures collapsing, have filled us with disbelief, terrible sadness, and a quiet, unyielding anger. These acts of mass murder were intended to frighten our nation into chaos and retreat.” [RBT Emphasis]
-Sept 11, 2001 President George W Bush

“We stand today at a unique and extraordinary moment. The crisis in the Persian Gulf, as grave as it is, also offers a rare opportunity to move toward an historic period of cooperation. Out of these troubled times, -- a new world order -- can emerge: a new era -- freer from the threat of terror, stronger in the pursuit of justice, and more secure in the quest for peace”.
-Sept 11, 1990 President Bush Sr.

"When You See a Rattlesnake Poised to Strike,
You Do Not Wait Until He Has Struck Before You Crush Him."

-Sept 11, 1941 President Franklin D Roosevelt

A little more than two months after signing it a peace conference is held with British Admiral, Lord Richard Howe, and American representatives (including John Adams and Benjamin Franklin). The conference fails as Howe demands the colonists revoke the Declaration of Independence
-Sept 11, 1776

What would have happened if they voted against the Declaration after having voted for it; if they went to war then just decided to cut their losses and run from the fight?
Posted by rocketsbrain on Mon Sep 18, 9:56am. 0 Comments

Mon Sep 18, 9:43am

Those NO TIES Lies Part 4
Those NO TIES Lies
Part 4: There Are No Jihadis In Iraq

By Scott Malensek

Would Al Queda ever work with Saddam’s regime, and would Saddam’s regime ever work with Al Queda? The answer is complex, but in the end a simple “yes” fits better on a bumper sticker. Lawyer-politicians seeking to hold their office or seeking higher quarters at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue in 2009 can dance with this question forever, and the Phase II report is quite clear in its “conclusions” that the two would never work together, but the problem with that assessment is that it ignores common sense.

The report quotes Saddam, Tariq Aziz, a-Tikriti, Faruq Hijazi, and others as all denying that the regime would ever work with Saddam. All admitted that the regime had contacts with Al Queda. All of the regime leaders claimed that those contacts were just to keep a watchful eye on the fanatics. All are in jail facing trial. Oh, and if there was a relationship between Al Queda and the regime…it would involve these same men who are in jail, facing trial, proclaiming innocence of such a connection and much more.

“According to debriefs of multiple detainees-including Saddam Hussein and former Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz- and captured documents, Saddam did not trust al-Qa’ida or any other radical Islamist group and did not want to cooperate with them.”

“when told there was clear evidence that the Iraqi government had previously met with bin Ladin, Saddam responded, “yes.” Saddam then specified that Iraq did not cooperate with bin Ladin. In response to the suggestion that he might cooperate with al-Qa’ida because “the enemy of my enemy is my friend,” Saddam answered that the United States was not Iraq’s enemy. He claimed that Iraq only opposed U.S. policies.”

“According to Tariq Aziz, “Saddam only expressed negative sentiments about bin Ladin.“

“During the FBI’s debrief of a top official in Saddam’s government, Abid Hamid Mahmoud al-Kattab al-Tikriti, al-Tikriti noted that Saddam Hussein’s position was that Iraq should not deal with al-Qa’ida.”

“Postwar debriefs provided information on the 1995 meeting between bin Ladin and senior Iraq Intelligence Service official Faruq Hijazi. According to the FBI, Hijazi stated during his debriefing that he met bin Ladin once in Sudan in early 1995. The meeting came in response to a request to the Iraqi government through the government of Sudan on behalf of bin Laden. Hijazi told debriefers that he was selected by Saddam because he was secular, which would make him less sympathetic to bin Ladin’s radical message. Hijazi also noted that Saddam gave him explicit instructions that he was “only to listen” and not negotiate or promise anything to bin Ladin.’”

At least the regime leaders are consistent. There must be only innocent men in those cells. There’s a long list of problems with their claims that the regime was secular, wouldn’t work with Al Queda or other Jihadis, was afraid to work with Islamic extremists, and so forth. Among the problems with the claims that the mass media finds so acceptable is the contradictory statements found later in the report.

In a response to questions from Committee staff asking if DIA recovered or received information or intelligence, after the raid on Salman Pak in April 2003 that indicated non-Iraqis received terrorist training at the Salman Pak facility, DIA said it has “no credible reports that non-Iraqis were trained to conduct or support transnational terrorist operations at Salman Pak after 1991.” DIA assessed that the foreigners were likely volunteers who traveled to Iraq in the months before Operation Iraqi Freedom began to fight overtly alongside Iraqi military forces. “The Iraqi government encouraged this support . . . and trained these fighters in basic combat techniques. The former regime used the Salman Pak Unconventional Warfare Training Facility . . . to train a variety of Iraqi military and security elements and, DIA assesses, foreign fighters overtly aligned with Iraq.” The facilities included a derelict aircraft and train intended for counter-terrorism training.“

Really? The SSCI report has evidence to affirm that Iraq’s claims of training counter-terrorists were true? No. It does not. Someone added that unfounded comment, but they forgot to remove the subsequent DIA quote that contradicts their claim.

“A November 2003 assessment from DIA noted that postwar exploitation of the facility found it “devoid of valuable intelligence.” The assessment added that CIA exploitation “found nothing of intelligence value remained and assessed the Iraqi Intelligence Service (IIS) cleaned it out.” The DIA assessment concluded that “we do not know whether the ex-regime trained terrorists on the aircraft at Salman Pak. Intelligence in late April 2003 indicated the plane had been dismantled. DIA and CENTCOM assess the plane was sold for scrap.“[emphasis added]”

The claim that Salman Pak was a counter-terrorist training facility references the Iraqi Survey Group Report, but that report again cites a lack of evidence.

“M14, directed by Muhammad Khudayr Sabah Al Dulaymi, was responsible for training and conducting special operations missions. It trained Iraqis, Palestinians, Syrians, Yemeni, Lebanese, Egyptian, and Sudanese operatives in counterterrorism, explosives, marksmanship, and foreign operations at its facilities at Salman Pak. Additionally, M14 oversaw the “Challenge Project,” a highly secretive project regarding explosives. Sources to date have not been able to provide sufficient details regarding the “Challenge Project.””-ISG rpt Vol I, pg 78

When it comes to the story of Salman Pak, what is known is that foreigners (“Palestinians, Syrians, Yemeni, Lebanese, Egyptian, and Sudanese) trained for special operations warfare there. Who were these foreigners? Did special forces soldiers from Egypt and Syria need to go to Iraq for training? That’s doubtful. Did Sudan even have Special Forces? Does the Palestinian Authority have Special Forces who need training in counter-terrorism? This is even more doubtful. Before the invasion, WMD inspectors like Richard Butler, Scott Ritter, David Kay, Charles Duelfer, and more all claimed Salman Pak was a terrorist training camp.

So who was getting trained in Iraq by Saddam’s regime-a regime that today claims to have been fearful of Jihadis?

“Beginning in 1998, these camps began hosting “Arab volunteers from Egypt, Palestine, Jordan, ‘the Gulf,’ and Syria.” It is not clear from available evidence where all of these non-Iraqi volunteers who were “sacrificing for the cause” went to ply their newfound skills. Before the summer of 2002, most volunteers went home upon the completion of training. But these training camps were humming with frenzied activity in the months immediately prior to the war. As late as January 2003, the volunteers participated in a special training event called the “Heroes Attack.” This training event was designed in part to prepare regional Fedayeen Saddam commands to “obstruct the enemy from achieving his goal and to support keeping peace and stability in the province.” ”-Iraqi Perspectives Project Report pg 54

Fedayeen Saddam translates as Saddam’s Martyrs. How is that a secular force? How can anyone see that and claim that the foreign fighters who came to Iraq, trained in unconventional warfare, trained to conduct special operations, and called themselves Saddam’s Martyrs….how can anyone claim that those men were not Jihadists? It sounds more like the kind of people that filled the ranks of Al Queda than that of a secular, Godless regime.

“Bin Ladin now had a vision of himself as head of an international jihad confederation. In Sudan, he established an “Islamic Army Shura” that was to serve as the coordinating body for the consortium of terrorist groups with which he was forging alliances. It was composed of his own al Qaeda Shura together with leaders or representatives of terrorist organizations that were still independent. In building this Islamic army, he enlisted groups from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Iraq, Oman, Algeria, Libya, Tunisia, Morocco, Somalia, and Eritrea. Al Qaeda also established cooperative but less formal relationships with other extremist groups from these same countries; from the African states of Chad, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, and Uganda; and from the Southeast Asian states of Burma, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Bin Ladin maintained connections in the Bosnian conflict as well.” -911 Commission Final Report pg 58

Who was it that faced U.S. Marines in their eastern advance on Baghdad and the Army’s 3rd ID in the west?

Under Fire, by various Reuters reporters describes "thousands" of foreign fighters/terrorists.

Embedded, by various reporters describes "thousands" of foreign fighters/terrorists.

Shadow War, by Richard Miniter describes "thousands" of foreign fighters/terrorists.

The Secret History of the Iraq War
, by Yosef Bodansky describes "thousands" of foreign fighters/terrorists.

Generation Kill
, by Evan Wright describes "thousands" of foreign fighters/terrorists.

The March Up, by Maj Gen Ray L Smith describes "thousands" of foreign fighters/terrorists roughly in the neighborhood of 2000-4000 in the various training camps captured by the US Marines (some still occupied by US Marines).

War Stories
, by Oliver North describes "thousands" of foreign fighters/terrorists roughly in the neighborhood of 2000-4000 in the various training camps captured by the US Marines (some still occupied by US Marines).

Thunder Run, by David Zucchino clearly describes 5000-6000 Syrian mercenaries, foreign fighters, jihadis, and Islamofascists.

American Soldier
, by Gen Tommy Franks describes thousands to tens of thousands of foriegn fighter terrorists from all over the Middle East.

Estimates at the PRE-Second Battle of Fallujah had the foreign fighter, Islamofascists, Jihadis, around 2000-3000. Fewer seem to have been encountered as many (like al Queda’s Zarqawi and other terrorist leaders) managed to escape. There have been other battles and large fights where there were claims of foreign fighter, Islamofascists, Jihadis numbering as high as a few hundred in each case.

Typically scorekeepers will tell us that the insurgency has consistently numbered 20,000 Iraqis or less, and of those only 1500-2000 are al Queda. An unknown number are foreigners, mercenaries, and foreign intelligence operatives (primarily from Iran and Syria), and as many as 80 suicide bombings a month have been recorded with an average of 60-80% of those being conducted by foreign suicide bombers.

As soldiers and Marines by the hundreds of thousands return home from Iraq, they are telling their stories. They are telling family and friends of what they saw, and of who they fought. They are writing books that tell of their experiences. Amazon.com is full of them. They have fought and lived through a dramatic and on-going historical event. To them it is real-not politics, and so they tell the truth. They describe an invasion and an occupation where Islamic extremists and Iraqi thugs are the enemy. They tell tales of a fight against terrorists; people who rammed cars filled with explosives at tanks as they fought their way through terrorist training camps at Nasariah, Khifl, Salman Pak, and many more.

The people who wrote the SSCI Phase II report distort and deny that reality. The mainstream media seeks to pretend that all these jihadis were not affiliated with Al Queda based on claims from Saddam and his regime clearly lied. We are expected to believe Saddam’s word and the words of lawyer politicians in DC rather than that of soldiers, Marines, and reporters who were there during the invasion. To do so is to deny history, and deny those who served the honor of recognizing the specifics of their experiences and sacrifices. They deserve to have their stories told honestly-not politically as the Senate has chosen.
Posted by rocketsbrain on Mon Sep 18, 9:43am. 0 Comments

Mon Sep 18, 9:27am

Those NO TIES Lies Part 3

Those No Ties Lies
Part 3: Is Saddam A Liar?

By Scott Malensek

The long-awaited and recently released Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (SSCI) Phase II report has spawned headlines declaring that there were never any ties between Saddam’s regime and Al Queda. This is a grossly inaccurate representation of the report’s 400 pages and of historical reality. In fact, the report is little more than a rehash of the phase I report’s findings.

The difference is that the issue of regime ties to Al Queda in the 2004 Phase I report is described in the Phase II report: “The analysis was detailed, did not make definitive statements, and left the issue open for the consumer to decide what constituted a “relationship.“‘ The Phase II report differs in that its conclusions see more final-though the report and the additional comments at the end make it very clear that the report’s conclusions are not final, and that those who produced it are concerned that they will be viewed as such.

Another difference is that the Phase I report was based largely on 2002 and earlier intelligence reports. Those reports were inherently flawed as there wasn’t a single CIA human asset in Iraq for 4 years when they were produced. They were based almost entirely on outdated intelligence, satellite intelligence, foreign intelligence, and open source mass media reports. As such, the Phase I report repeatedly stated that the comments stating a lack of evidence demonstrating ties between Saddam’s Regime and Al Queda was due mostly to a lack of intelligence gathering rather than a lack of material, and that the question of ties needed further investigation. 911 Commissioners said the same thing when their report was released and as recently as mid 2006.

The forms of intelligence gathered are described by both the Phase I and Phase II reports as detainees, foreign intelligence reporting, open source reporting (such as media reports), and post invasion human intelligence reports. Of those four sources, foreign intelligence reporting is largely ignored in the Phase II report, open source reporting is almost completely ignored by the Phase II report, and post invasion human intelligence reporting is limited at best (Almost half of the key personnel who would be involved in connections between the regime and Al Queda either remain at large or have been killed).

Instead of open source reporting, the Phase II report focuses a great deal on the captured documents recovered from Saddam’s regime, but only 18% of those documents have been translated and evaluated. The report then goes on to contradict itself by saying first that even though 1/5 of the documents have only been glanced at (at best) they’re confident that the other 82% of the documents will be of little input to the conclusions. Then the report says that it doesn’t put any serious value on any of the documents or the testimony of detainees. That contradiction is further exacerbated by the reliance on FBI interrogations of detainees.

Many of the quasi-conclusions are based largely on claims of innocence from Saddam Hussein, “a top official in Saddam’s government, Abid Hamid Mahmoud al-Kattab al-Tikriti,” Tariq Aziz, and Faruq Hijazi. These are 4/7 of the primary players in any involvement or potential involvement between Saddam’s regime and Al Queda. The other 3 primary players are Mohammed al-Douri (He is Saddam’s VP/muscle man/Thug-In-Charge who remains at large. He is also suspected of being the primary source for most a large portion of the insurgency and most reports place him as directing operations from inside Syria. The last 2 primary players in any involvement or potential involvement between the regime and Al Queda are Uday and Qusay Hussein, but both chose to die fighting Coalition forces rather than be taken alive. If there ever was or was going to be any covert involvement between the regime and Al Queda…these are the 7 people who would have lead the effort. Now that they’re in custody and facing death sentences, do you think they’d tell the truth or are prisons truly filled with innocent men?

Apparently the lead DIA analyst does, and the SSCI section on Saddam’s ties is based mostly on his comments. The rest of us might take Saddam to be a bit more of a liar. The rest of the world might view his claims of innocence as thinly veiled attempts to try and save his skin-perhaps even only admitting to things that he cannot deny. For example, the Phase II report reaffirms many of the regime meetings/contacts with Al Queda throughout the years, but when those who made the contacts or ordered them were asked if he would confess that he intended to work with Al Queda, to offer them training, support, a safe haven in Iraq, or if he would ever work with Al Queda, the Phase II report describes his response, “…when told there was clear evidence that the Iraqi government had previously met with bin Ladin, Saddam responded, “yes.” Saddam then specified that Iraq did not cooperate with bin Ladin. In response to the suggestion that he might cooperate with al-Qa’ida because “the enemy of my enemy is my friend,” Saddam answered that the United States was not Iraq’s enemy. He claimed that Iraq only opposed U.S. policies. He specified that if he wanted to cooperate with the enemies of the U.S., he would have allied with North Korea or China.”pg70. So, when Saddam was told there was clear evidence about something-he admitted it. He wasn’t told there was clear evidence of his willingness to work with them, and rather than confess to a question that surely would mean his death…he played innocent.

It should be noted also that his interviews were done by the FBI, and not by the CIA, DIA, or Iraqi authorities. This is important because of the New York Times’ recent article detailing the difference between interrogation techniques between the law enforcement and intelligence agencies. Law enforcement (FBI) is steadfast in using non-coercive interrogations where as intelligence agencies are willing to use coercive interrogation techniques against high-value detainees as a means of gaining actionable intelligence that could be life or death. One wonders what Saddam might confess to if someone did more to the mass murdering dictator than ask him. The NYT article mentioned describes how Al Queda #3 man Abu Zubaydah cracked under pressure when put in a cold room and forced to listen to a Red Hot Chili Peppers CD. The group’s not bad, but one wonders what Saddam might say sans air conditioning with Metallica or Guns & Roses playing. The latter worked on Manuel Noriega. Why not? Oh that’s right, the FBI somehow has jurisdiction over captured dictators in Iraqi custody, in Iraqi prisons, in Iraqi legal hearings.

Hmm, perhaps it’s right to turn the Iraqi dictator over to the Iraqis for real? Maybe that’s the just thing to do and the best way to get more than answers similar to those I get from my 4yr daughter when she steals a cookie, “Dad, ok, yes-I was in the cookie jar, but I didn’t take any cookies, I didn’t eat any, I didn’t give any to my friends, and I don’t know why we’re all covered in crumbs.” Or maybe-just maybe, since these regime members are all in custody and awaiting or undergoing trials for war crimes, maybe the FBI would make sure that they had their defense lawyers present before questioning them, and what defense attorney wouldn’t advise their client to deny involvement in such crimes?

The Phase II report does have a lot of interesting new information in it regarding one subject. It was long-marketed by the war’s opponents as the de facto investigation that was going to investigate HOW the Bush Admin used intelligence, pressured analysts, lied about intelligence to the American people and so forth. It was marketed as an investigation into the Bush-lied conspiracy theory (the favorite excuse by many Democrats who choose to pander to their anti-war party base rather than tell the truth to the American people). Absolutely no where in the 400 pages of this report does it say, “Bush Lied.” It doesn’t say anything of the kind. In fact, even the minority additional comments focus exclusively on intelligence reform. Even they blame the unbalance between pre-war assessments and results on poor intelligence from decrepit and dilapidated intelligence agencies, and they don’t blame President Bush.

While some lawyer politicians will pander the idea that the Phase II report shows there were never any ties between Saddam’s regime and Al Queda, what it really does is kill the Bush Lied conspiracy theory; the DNC excuse for having authorized the second and conclusive invasion of Iraq.
Posted by rocketsbrain on Mon Sep 18, 9:27am. 0 Comments

Mon Sep 18, 9:18am

Those NO TIES Lies - Part 2
Those NO TIES Lies
Part 2: Only 18% Of Intel Says No Regime/Al Queda Ties

By Scott Malensek

The recent Phase II report released by the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (SSCI) has been hyped as a carte blanche dismissal of the idea that Saddam’s regime had ties to Al Queda. Not many people take the time to read the 400 pages of government report. In fact, not many people in the mass media bothered to read the report before reporting on it. Just as people summarize the 1000 pages of the ISG “Duelfer Report” as saying only 5 letters (“NOWMD”) this report’s 400 pages are being reported as another 5 letters (“NOTIES”). Moby Dick was roughly 700 pages, but I doubt many English professors would accept a book report that only had 5 letters (“WHALE”). Why should we?

Well, I’m one of those few people who do read these kinds of reports. In fact, I enjoy reading them. It’s strange, but it’s true. They’re packed with all kinds of information about the war on terror, Al Queda, Saddam’s Iraq, and America’s primary combatants in this war: our intelligence organizations. For me, it’s like reading spy novels that aren’t fiction…well, that is until I read this Phase II report. This one IS fiction.

Both the SSCI Phase I and Phase II reports examined “Saddam’s Ties to Al Queda” only in the context of:

Views of the relationship between the Iraqi government and al-Qa’ida;
. Iraqi government contacts with al-Qa’ida;
. Iraqi government training of al-Qa’ida in chemical-biological weapons, poisons or terrorist tactics;
. Iraqi government provision of “safehaven” for al-Qa’ida;
. Iraqi government knowledge and/or support for the attacks of September 11,and;
. Iraqi government use of al-Qa’ida terrorists as a response to threat of invasion by the United States.


Evaluations regarding all of those areas are clearly important, but it seems the Bush Administration’s case for war and the expectations of Americans-as well as the world-would define “Saddam’s Ties to Al Queda” differently. The Bush Administration claimed that Saddam had WMD capability (either in stockpiles or rapid restart “breakout capability”), and that the threat of Saddam’s regime providing WMD to Al Queda constituted a “Nexus of Evil” scenario that was too horrific a possibility to allow indefinitely. So the question of regime ties as understood by most people is a two-fold question:

“Did Saddam have the capability to provide WMD,
and if so would he have provided WMD to Al Queda?”


That is how most people view the question of Saddam’s Ties to Al Queda. It’s how it was presented to the American people by the Administration, and it’s how it should be evaluated.

The “Duelfer Report” and Dr Kay’s interim report both show that there was a WMD capability in the form of rapid restart WMD programs masked as dual use technologies (such as converting concentrated pesticides to nerve agents or chlorine production facilities to facilities that could fill the tens of thousands of empty artillery shells stored at such facilities). Post war and post ISG report findings also found WMD in various forms of degradation ranging from completely benign to still weapons grade (in fact, the Department of Defense regarded the capabilities of captured chemical weapons as dangerous enough to still classify them as weapons instead of simply hazardous materials). "It was reasonable to conclude that Iraq posed an imminent threat. What we learned during the inspection made Iraq a more dangerous place potentially than, in fact, we thought it was even before the war,"-1/28/04 Dr. David Kay testimony to Senate Armed Services. Committee

The answer to the first part of the Nexus of Evil scenario is,

“Yes, Saddam did have the ability to give WMD to Al Queda.”
[RBT emphasis]

Would he have given WMD to Al Queda? To that end examining the areas that the Phase I and Phase II reports is useful, but the end assessment of whether or not the regime would provide WMD to Al Queda is left unresolved, and therefore the crucial question of Saddam’s Ties to Al Queda as shown before is left unresolved-not definitively closed at all as opponents of the war and many in the mainstream media would have us believe. In fact, while the Phase II report again says that evidence remains to be gathered and assessed regarding some of the four areas examined, and it does NOT say there are no ties between Saddam’s regime and Al Queda as the Bush Administration defined such ties or as the American people have come to understand such ties. Specifically, the issue of regime ties to Al Queda in the 2004 Phase I report is described in the Phase II report: “The analysis was detailed, did not make definitive statements, and left the issue open for the consumer to decide what constituted a “relationship.“‘ pg66 While some statements may be mischaracterized as definitive, the Phase II report also does not make definitive statements for the same reason, and it’s only at the end of the section on regime ties to Al Queda that this is made clear.

Throughout the Phase II report’s “Section III. Iraqi Links to Al-Qa’ida”, there are numerous points that illustrate just how little intelligence has yet to be inexcusably collected, interpreted, and assessed in this matter. According to the report, most of the assessments are not made by the intelligence community at large*, but are reports to the SSCI made by the lead DIA analyst alone, by FBI “soft” interrogations of regime detainees, and two pre-war CIA assessments that were based largely on pre-1998 intelligence (“Most alarmingly, after 1998 and the exit of the U.N. inspectors, the CIA had no human intelligence sources inside Iraq who were collecting against the WMD target.” Senator Pat Roberts 070904 SSCI Release of Phase I Press Conference transcript). Additionally, the Phase II report says, “The Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), which is leading the exploitation effort of documents (DocEx) uncovered in Iraq, told Committee staff that 120 million plus pages of documents that were recovered in Iraq have received an initial review for intelligence information. As of January 2006, 34 million pages have been translated and summarized to some extent and are available to analysts in an Intelligence Community database.” pg 62/400, and while that might mislead people into thinking that the assessments made are full and complete, it isn’t until later in the report that a little caveat is tucked away for less-than-attentive readers to find, “Over the past three years, the effort has secured and partially processed more than 26 million pages of documents and over ten terabytes of analog and digital media.”pg133/400. That means that 26,000,000 docs have been partially translated out of the 120,000,000+ that have been recovered; barely 18% have been partially translated, and we’re to believe that the claims of “No Ties” as presented by the media and opponents to the war is somehow a definitive assessment?

An investigation that claims to conclude after examining (at best) 18% of the information is not conclusive. It’s misleading.

*The Intelligence Community is currently comprised of:
The Office of the Director of Central Intelligence,
The Central Intelligence Agency,
The Defense Intelligence Agency,
The National Security Agency,
The National Reconnaissance Office,
The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency,
The intelligence component of the Army
The intelligence component of the Navy
The intelligence component of the Air Force,
The intelligence component of the Marine Corps,
The State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research,
The of Energy Department’s Office of Intelligence,
The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Office of Intelligence and Divisions of Counterterrorism and Counterintelligence,
The Department of Homeland Security’s Directorate of Information Analysis
Infrastructure Protection as well as its Directorate of Coast Guard Intelligence,
The Treasury Department’s Office of Terrorism and Finance Intelligence
Posted by rocketsbrain on Mon Sep 18, 9:18am. 0 Comments

Mon Sep 18, 8:53am

EXCLUSIVE - IRAQ - Those NO TIES Lies
HT Scott Malensek

SCROLL FOR UPDATE

EXCLUSIVE to RBT
.

Scott Malensek sent this advance copy of his five part series, Those NO TIES Lies, that will appear in The New Media Journal , to RBT, Ray Robison a FoxNews contributor on the Saddam Regime documents, and Mark Echenlaub of Regime of Terror.

RBT will post the other four parts shortly.

RBT

Scott's Bio:

Scott Malensek is the author of: Black Rain For Christmas, The Secret War in South Asia, Sixth Fleet Under: Aircraft Carrier Combat in The Eastern Mediterranean, The X-MAS War, The Weekend Warriors, and 50+ Ways to Play With Your Paintballs. He's also written several books on the Global War on Terror and Iraq under the pen name, Sam Pender. These books include: Iraq's Smoking Gun, The Ignored War, America's War With Saddam, How Did It Come To This?, and Saddam's Ties to Al Qaeda

*****

Those NO TIES Lies
Part 1: BUSH LIED

By Scott Malensek

How many times have we heard members of the media say, “We know now that there were no ties between Saddam and Al Queda”? Typically people make this claim based on any combination of four sources: President Bush’s 9/17/03 statement, Sec Powell’s 1/8/04 statement, the 911 Commission’s Final Report of 7/22/04, or the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence’s (SSCI) report on Pre-war Iraq intelligence reports: 7/7/04. Yet, in each of these cases, the very quotations that opponents of the war in Iraq point towards as definitive claims of “no ties” are only half quotes. When they refer to President Bush’s comments about Iraq not being part of 911, Colin Powell’s statement that he saw no evidence of collaboration, or the 911 Commission saying no evidence of collaborative ties, or the SSCI report of “no evidence of ties”…all of those comments are only half quoted.

For example, opponents of the war will tell us that Pres Bush constantly tied 911 to the war in Iraq and effectively tricked the world into believing the two were related by often using the two subjects in subsequent sentences or paragraphs or at least in the same speech. Then they’ll turn right around and point to a single quote from President Bush as evidence that the Bush Administration knew Saddam wasn’t involved in 911.

“We've had no evidence that Saddam Hussein was involved with the September 11th. There's no question that Saddam Hussein had al Qaeda ties.” -Pres Bush 9/17/03

Normally these words would seem to contradict the argument that President Bush was claiming Iraq attacked the US on 911, and “There’s no question that Saddam Hussein had al Queda ties” would seem to contradict the claim that there were no ties.

It happens again with former Secretary of State Colin Powell. Opponents of the war often point to an impromptu press conference Sec Powell where he says, “I have not seen a smoking gun, concrete evidence about the connection,” but that’s where an opponent will deliberately try and mislead by only providing half of Sec Powell’s comments. Back on planet Earth, Sec Powell’s full comments can be examined, and rather than being a voice of dissent to the idea of Saddam’s ties to Al Queda, he explains that the idea of such ties…was not some sort of neocon fiction. He says it was a prudent assessment instead.

"I have not seen smoking gun, concrete evidence about the connection, but I think the possibility of such connections did exist, and it was prudent to consider them at the time that we did." [emphasis added] -Sec Powell 1/8/04

The CIA’s report, Iraqi Ties To Terrorism says:

“The CIA assessed that: Regarding the Iraq-al-Qaida relationship, reporting from sources of varying reliability points to a number of contacts, incidents of training, and discussions of Iraqi safe haven for Usama bin Laden and his organization dating from the early 1990's. Iraq's interaction with al-Qaida is impelled by mutual antipathy toward the United States and the Saudi royal family and by bin Ladin's interest in unconventional weapons and relocation sites. The relationship between Iraq and al-Qaida appears to more closely resemble that of two independent actors trying to exploit each other - their mutual suspicion suborned by al-Qaida's interest in Iraqi assistance, and Baghdad's interest in al-Qaida's anti-U.S. attacks. The Intelligence Community has no credible information that Baghdad had foreknowledge of the 11 September attacks or any other al-Qaida strike, but continues to pursue all leads.”

From the 2004 Phase I report:

“Due to the limited amount and questionable quality of reporting on the leadership intentions of Saddam Hussein and Usama bin Ladin, the CIA was unable to make conclusive assessments in "Iraqi Support for Terrorism" regarding Iraq's relationship with al-Qaida. The CIA stated in the Scope Note: Our knowledge of Iraq's ties to terrorism is evolving...This paper's conclusions-especially regarding the difficult and elusive question of the exact nature of Iraq's relations with al-Qaida-are based on currently available information that is at times contradictory and derived from sources with varying degrees of reliability...While our understanding of Iraq’s overall connections to al-Qaida has grown considerably, our appreciation of these links is still emerging.”

Section 13 of the Senate Intelligence Committee report, titled Intelligence Community Collection Activities Against Iraq's links to Terrorism, points out the problem with stating categorically if there were ties or no ties between Saddam’s regime and Al Queda:

“Notwithstanding four decades of intelligence reporting, IC officials and analysts expressed frustration over the lack of useful intelligence collected on Iraq’s involvement in terrorism, particularly on links to al-Qaida. A January 2003 IC assessment of Iraqi support for terrorism explained, "Our knowledge of Iraq’s ties to terrorism is evolving and (REDACTED)".
Based on information provided to Committee staff, these gaps had three main causes:

1. a late start collecting against the target,
2. the lack of a U.S. presence in Iraq, and
3. reliance on foreign government services, opposition groups and defectors for current intelligence.”
[emphasis added]

When the 911 Commission and Senate Intelligence Committee both said there was a lack of evidence, they BOTH continued on to say that the reason for the lack of evidence was a lack of intelligence reporting (evidence gathering) from 98-01. In fact, we know from both that monitoring of AQ prior to 911 never numbered more than 40 people and averaged only 4! As bad is the comment from the Senate Intelligence Committee that after 98 there were ZERO human intelligence assets reporting on Iraq. No one collecting evidence=no evidence.

However, both the Senate Intelligence Committee and the 911 Commission specifically said that the lack of evidence means that the issue should remain OPEN-not closed, and that it was not the final word, and since then several 911 Commission members and Senate as well as House members have said that new evidence should be re-examined as the depth of the relationship is now showing itself to have been more than just tacit ties.

Now we have the Phase II report. It’s the report that all the mass media, Democrats, and opponents of the war (both non-violent protesters and violent insurgents) point towards as the final word on Saddam’s Ties to Al Queda. They say this report closes the door and says there were never any ties between the two. That’s not an accurate representation of the report or of history. Testimony from detainees who are known to be lying, proven to be lying by their past deeds and words, and who are under duress to both please their interrogators AND protect their lives by protecting their images of innocence are simply nowhere near as reliable as the report suggests. Whether it’s a prison in the United States or a prison in Iraq, they’re always filled with people convicted of crimes or on trial for crimes, and nearly all proclaim their innocence. Couple that gross over-reliance on FBI detainee interrogations as well as the millions of captured documents (82% of which are still awaiting translation), and finally a re-examination of open source reports of regime ties to Al Queda all combine to make the conclusions temporary and incomplete.

Can one imagine turning in a report to a professor or supervisor that was based on nothing but known liars in positions where they were most inclined to lie? What if the report was based on only 18% of the records having been reviewed, and all past history ignored? Would that report be accepted? Well the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence works for the American people-for you and me. We are their supervisors. We are the ones getting the incomplete report. It is unacceptable.

It’s understandable. The “Additional Comments” explains why the report took so long, and why it’s so clearly a manipulation of the truth aimed at compromised closure rather than completion:

“Simply stated, this second series of reports is designed to point fingers
in Washington and at the Administration. The conclusions in the reports were crafted with more partisan bias than we have witnessed in a long time in Congress. The “Phase II” investigation has turned the Senate Intelligence Committee, a committee initially designed to be the most bipartisan committee in the Senate, into a political playground stripped of its bipartisan power, and this fact has no gone unnoticed in the Intelligence Community.”
pg146


• 18% of the docs reviewed=a conclusion? UNACCEPTABLE
• based on interrogations of detainees by FBI? UNACCEPTABLE
• based on the word of Saddam, Aziz, al Tikriti, and Hijazi UNACCEPTABLE

This phase II report is more of a compromise to get it off the table before the midterms. Democrats wanted it out so they can scream no ties to the people who won't take the time to read it. Reps want it out so they don't have to hear the rhetoric about them blocking it anymore. Nope. Don't accept the headlines. Read the report, do some research, and the ties are very clear.

Update:

HT Scott Malensek

Scott has just completed his definitive rebuttal to the Phase II Report of the Senate Intel Committee:

Independent
Rebuttal Report Regarding

The SELECT COMMITTEE ON INTELLIGENCE
ON
POSTWAR FINDINGS ABOUT IRAQ’S WMD PROGRAMS AND
LINKS TO TERRORISM AND HOW THEY COMPARE WITH
PREWAR ASSESSMENTS


Scott takes the Committee's report point by point and rebutts the findings by information form sources the committee failed to include or consider.

I will make this a separate post with key excerpts later. In the meantime here's a link to Scott's entire report in PDF format:

http://www.scottmalensek.com/PhaseIIrebuttalrpt.pdf
Posted by rocketsbrain on Mon Sep 18, 8:53am. 0 Comments